On the timing and pricing of dividends

American Economic Review

Finance

American Economic Review 2012 June Vol 102:4 p 1596-1618

Van Binsbergen J;Brandt M;Koijen RSJ

2012

We present evidence on the term structure of the equity premium. We recover prices of dividend strips, which are short-term assets that pay dividends on the stock index every period up to period T and nothing thereafter. It is short-term relative to the index because the index pays dividends in perpetuity. We find that expected returns, Sharpe ratios, and volatilities on short-term assets are higher than on the index, while their CAPM betas are below one. Short-term assets are more volatile than their realizations, leading to excess volatility and return predictability. Our findings are inconsistent with many leading theories.

Institute of Finance and Accounting

No