Skip to main content
alt

Please enter a keyword and click the arrow to search the site

Or explore one of the areas below

International comovements, business cycle and inflation: A historical perspective

Journal

Review of Economic Dynamics

Subject

Economics

Publishing details

Review of Economic Dynamics 2011 Vol 14:1 p 176-198

Authors / Editors

Surico P;Mumtaz H;Simonelli S

Biographies

Paolo Surico

Publication Year

2011

Abstract

Using a dynamic factor model, we uncover four main empirical regularities on international comovements in a long-run panel of real and nominal variables. First, the contribution of world comovements to domestic output growth has decreased over the post-WWII period. The contribution of regional comovements, however, has increased significantly. Second, the share of inflation variation due to a global factor has become larger since 1985. Third, over most of the post-WWII period, international comovements within regions have accounted for the bulk of fluctuations in business cycle and inflation. Fourth, prices have become significantly less countercyclical during the post-1984 sample, with the largest contribution due to external developments.

Keywords

Output growth; Inflation; Geographic identification; Dynamic factor model

Available on ECCH

No


Select up to 4 programmes to compare

Select one more to compare
×
subscribe_image_desktop 5949B9BFE33243D782D1C7A17E3345D0

Sign up to receive our latest news and business thinking direct to your inbox

×

Sign up to receive our latest course information and business thinking

Leave your details above if you would like to receive emails containing the latest thought leadership, invitations to events and news about courses that could enhance your career. If you would prefer not to receive our emails, you can still access the case study by clicking the button below. You can opt-out of receiving our emails at any time by visiting: https://london.edu/my-profile-preferences or by unsubscribing through the link provided in our emails. View our Privacy Policy for more information on your rights.