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Asset prices and portfolio choice with learning from experience

Subject

Finance

Publishing details

IFA Working Paper

Authors / Editors

Ehling P;Graniero A;Heyerdahl-Larsen C

Publication Year

2016

Abstract

We study asset prices and portfolio choice in an overlapping generations economy in which the young disregard history to learn from own experience. In equilibrium, the young act as trend chasers as they increase their investment in risky assets after a positive return. Since the young have less precise estimates of consumption growth they lose wealth and consumption shares to the old. Consistent with findings from survey data, the average belief about expected returns in the economy is negatively related to future realized returns.

Keywords

Learning from Experience; Trend Chasing; Survey Based versus Objective Expected Returns

Series

IFA Working Paper

Available on ECCH

No


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