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Nowcasting euro area economic activity in real time: The role of confidence indicator

Journal

National Institute Economic Review

Subject

Economics

Authors / Editors

Giannone D;Reichlin L;Simonelli S

Publication Year

2009

Abstract

This paper assesses the role of qualitative surveys for the early estimation of GDP in the Euro Area in a model-based automated procedure which exploits the timeliness of their release. The analysis is conducted using both an historical evaluation and a real-time case study on the current conjuncture.

Keywords

Forecasting; Factor model; Real-time data; Large data sets; Survey

Available on ECCH

No


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