Innovation, growth and asset prices
Journal
Journal of Finance
Subject
Finance
Publishing details
Authors / Editors
Kung H;Schmid L
Biographies
Publication Year
2015
Abstract
We examine the asset pricing implications of a production economy whose long-term growth prospects are endogenously determined by innovation and R&D. In equilibrium, Rh&D endogenously drives a small, persistent component in productivity which generates long-run uncertainty about economic growth. With recursive preferences, households fear that persistent downturns in economic growth are accompanied by low asset valuations and command high risk premia in asset markets. Empirically, we find substantial evidence for innovation-driven low-frequency movements in aggregate growth rates and asset market valuations. In short, equilibrium growth is risky.
Keywords
Endogenous growth; asset pricing; innovation; R&D; productivity; recursive preferences
Available on ECCH
No